Showing posts with label J.R. Murphy. Show all posts
Showing posts with label J.R. Murphy. Show all posts

Friday, July 8, 2011

Updated Top Ten Yankee Prospects

Earlier this year I made my Top Ten List of Yankee Prospects which you can read here. Since we are now halfway through the 2011 season I thought I would do some revising. I have removed guys who have spent a significant amount of time in the Majors from the list so that eliminates Hector Noesi (#6) and Ivan Nova (#7). I don't think they have lost any shine from their future prospects but I felt they have acquitted themselves well enough at the big league level this year and that this list should focus on guys who have yet to make the Majors.

1. Jesus Montero, C. He was number one on my previous list and remains there. His season has been somewhat of a disappointment but he is still hitting .289 with 7 homers and 33 RBI's. Scouts have said he looks bored in Scranton and that could very well be the case. He proved last year he can handle AAA and this year is no different. Right now he is dealing with smoe back/side stiffness and is on the 7-Day DL but its nothing major. His defense isn't great but its improved a little this season. He would be a borderline backstop defensively in the Majors but that isn't what makes Montero special. He has good power and can hit for average. I am actually very surprised the Yankees have not made him the backup to Russell Martin yet like they did with Jorge Posada in the mid to late 1990's. He can use the challenge and a little love from the Yankees might go a long way. And, if the Yankees want to use him as a trade chip, having him show he can handle the Big Leagues would be a huge advantage.

2. Manny Banuelos, SP. He had a fabulous Spring Training this year but has regressed a little at AA but he retains the #2 spot on my list. His numbers aren't hideous or anything. In fact, his numbers still look quite good. In 16 games this season, Banuelos has compiled a 3-2 record, 3.28 ERA, and has struck out 77 in 74 innings. His one bugaboo so far has been his walks. He has allowed 39 walks this season after only allowing 25 in 64.2 innings all of last year. It isn't anything to get worried about. The stuff is still there. He has the makings of a future ace and the Yankees know it.

3. Dellin Betances, SP. Betances jumps from #4 to #3 and deservedly so. He could overtake Banuelos for the #2 spot at any time. His 2011 season at AA Trenton has been something of a display. He often gets into trouble by walking too many hitters but then proceeds to get out of those jams by striking guys out. So far this season he has a 4-3 record with a 2.62 ERA, and 86 strikeouts in 75.2 innings. He has allowed 40 walks, however, after allowing 22 in 85.1 all of last season. He has shown he can tame the wildness before and I am confident he will be able to do it in the future. What he projects to is either Mariano's heir or a staff ace. It might not be long before Betances is #1 on this list.

4. Gary Sanchez, C. He drops from #3 after a poor showing this year at Low-A Charleston. He was sent to Extended Spring Training after some attitude problems but has since returned and has shown some improvement. He is only hitting .239 at the moment but has 8 homers, which match last year's totals, and 30 RBI's. He is still very young, only 19, so I am sure he will outgrow his attitude problems. His defense has been awful this year, allowing a whopping 23 passed balls. He needs to focus more behind the plate and devote himself to the game. If he does that he could have a higher ceiling than Montero at least offensively. Sometimes kids just need a kick in the ass and Sanchez needs that right now.

5. Bryan Mitchell, SP. Mitchell was drafted by the Yankees in the 2009 Draft. They stole him away from the University of North Carolina with a huge bonus. He throws his fastball in the low 90's with a good slider and an outstanding, knee-buckling 12-6 curveball. It might seem like an awfully big jump for a 20 year-old kid with less than a full season of pro ball under his belt but this kid can pitch. He needs to cut down on his walks which are a result of him wanting to strike everyone out and be perfect all the time. If he learns to pitch to contact sometimes the Yankees could have another ace in their pocket who also has a "B" in his name. He should also be able to add some zip to his fastball as he packs on some weight to his 6'2" 175 lbs. frame. He makes it to number 5 based purely on talent and not statistics.

6. Mason Williams, CF. Williams is another of those toolsy guys and another first-timer on my list. Power was never considered to be a tool Williams possessed but that tool could develop over time. He has speed, an arm, hits for average, and understands the game. He is a pretty darn good outfielder, showing very good instincts and cat-like reflexes in the outfield. He might be a little too aggressive on the bases but he should learn when and where to steal a bag. In many ways he reminds me of a young Bernie Williams with a much better arm. He showed up to Staten Island ready to play this year, raking to the tune of a .325 AVG with 5 doubles, 1 triple, 2 homers, 12 RBI's, and 5 stolen bases (out of 9 attempts). The Yankees might have an upgraded version of Brett Gardner in Williams or the next Bernie Williams. Either way I think the Yankees would be happy. He just needs to cut down on the strikeouts.

7. J.R. Murphy, C/3B. Murphy has often been overlooked because the Yankees have like 400 catching prospects that rank. However, Murphy might just be the one who sneaks in and ends up squatting behind the plate for the Yankees. At Charleston he was hitting to the tune of .297 with 6 homers and 32 RBI before earning a promotion to High-A Tampa. He has struggled a little bit since his promotion but you can't base anything on the 41 at-bats he has at that level. He improved his defense significantly, enough so that the Yankees stopped playing him elsewhere on the field and started putting him behind the plate a little more often. He also has a great eye and is pretty hard to strikeout, at least for someone his age (20) and playing at his level. He is versatile enough so that if he doesn't make it as a catcher he can always play the outfield or DH or play some first or third.

8. Slade Heathcott, OF. He is currently on the DL but has earned himself a promotion to High-A Tampa. He still has some makeup issues after starting a brawl by getting hit by a pitch and then turning around and laying out the catcher. He served a 5 game suspension for that act but, considering his background, he has come a long way. He has one of the best outfield arms in all of minor league baseball and his bat looks like it is coming around. He hit .271 with 11 doubles, 4 triples, and 4 homers while amassing 16 RBI's and 6 stolen bases. He has the speed to become more aggressive on the basepaths but like Mason Williams he needs to learn when and where to steal. He should end up developing some decent power, probably in the 15-25 range at the big league level.

9. Andrew Brackman, SP/RP. Brackman entered the season at #5 on my list and closest to making the Majors out of the "Killer B's" but an extremely poor showing at AAA Scranton/Wilkes-Barre has eroded some of the shine off his prospect status. Last year, Brackman made major strides, going 10-11 with a 3.90 ERA while striking out 126 and walking only 39 in 140.2 innings. This year, however, Brackman has lost control. He leads the league in walks (51), hit batters (10), wild pitches (14) and has an ugly 7.96 ERA and 1.84 WHIP. He was removed from the SWB rotation and placed in the bullpen but that hasn't helped. The stuff is there but something is missing. His fastball velocity has been up and down, reaching as high as 94-95 and as low as 87 for a game. At 25 years old and having signed a Major League contract after being drafted time is running out on Brackman who could become a free agent after this season or next season, I'm not sure which.

10. Mark Montgomery, RP. So far this year he has pitched in a total of 7 games but that was enough to earn him a promotion from Staten Island to Charleston. On July 1st of this year he struck out 5 batters in one inning. His slider is devastating and it shows in the strikeout totals, 19 in 7 innings. Think about that for a second. Nineteen outs out of 21 were by strikeout. Granted, he did have that 5 in one inning appearance but even if you take those two extra away that is still 17 out of 21 outs made being achieved by a strikeout. He is a reliever to the core so the Yankees don't really have to worry much about innings limits or any of that nonsense that can impede the arrival of pitching prospects in the Big Leagues. The Yankees have proven they will advance him as he earns it, having already done so after only 4 innings at Staten Island. If he keeps it up he could be in the Bronx in a year.

11. Austin Romine, C. Considered to be the better all-around catcher among the Yankees catching prospects, Romine has also swung a hot bat at Trenton this year. He has 11 doubles, 4 homers, and 35 RBI to accompany his .294 AVG. Right now the lack of a roster spot and regular playing time behind the plate at AAA Scranton is the only thing keeping him from being promoted. Once Montero gets promoted or traded then Romine will move up. He was #10 on my last list but the emergence of others rather than Romine's poor play caused a slight drop. One could argue that Romine is better than Murphy but I am taking into account overall prospect status which means Murphy might have a higher ceiling than Romine but Romine will surely be a catcher in the Majors.

12. Adam Warren, SP. He was #8 on my previous list but, like Romine, he slipped due to the emergence of others rather than his lack of production. Warren has done very well for himself at AAA so far, amassing a 6-3 record, 3.20 ERA, and 67 K's over 104 innings. He doesn't strike many hitters out and has a tendency to walk too many but he has a poise that you can't teach and escapes the jams he gets into with minimal damage. He probably won't develop into an ace but he could easily fit into the back end of the rotation and perform similarly to Ivan Nova this season.

13. David Phelps, SP. Like Warren he won't strike many hitters out and pitches to contact. He has gone 4-6 with a 3.38 ERA with 74 K's in 85.1 innings. He won't be an ace but could, like Warren, be a back of the rotation type guy.

14. Tommy Kahnle, RP. Kahnle is, like Montgomery, a strikeout machine. He also has developed a wild streak as he tries to strike every hitter he faces out. He has 64 K's through 50 innings with Charleston this year and could find himself on his way to Tampa soon. He just needs to eliminate some of those free passes, he has walked 30 in those 50 innings. He has held opposing hitters to a .196 AVG and only 1 homer this season but has a 3.96 ERA. The talent is there, he just needs to harness it and use it effectively.

15. Graham Stoneburner, SP. Injuries have really set him back in his development. He is undersized at 6'1" and 190 lbs. but he can bring the heat at 94 MPH. He was pitching well for Trenton this year before an injury sidelined him. He is now making rehab starts with the GCL Yankees. He has a good delivery which explains why he has been able to have the success he has enjoyed. He really needs to develop a second pitch, and maybe a third. If he can get an off-speed breaking ball to be as consistent as his fastball then the sky is the limit for Stoneburner. If not, it looks like a relief role in the majors is where he will end up. I have faith in him and think he could be a viable #3 guy in the Yankees rotation in one to two years. He just needs to stay healthy, get his arm stretched out, and develop another pitch or two.

Honorable Mentions: David Adams, 2B (needs to stay healthy otherwise he makes this list); Brandon Laird, 3B (has struggled at AAA this year); Cito Culver, SS (surprising a lot of people with his bat and arm at SS); Caleb Cotham, P (will make this list once he gets healthy and puts a few innings under his belt); Tim Norton (was on pace to make his MLB debut this year until a career threatening injury derailed those plans. If he can recover from it he can be an excellent middle reliever); Shaeffer Hall, SP (another pitcher in the mold of Warren and Phelps); Ben Gamel, 1B (younger brother to Mat Gamel of the Brewers, can flat out rake).


The Yankees farm system is one of the best in baseball. There are a lot of intriguing prospects scattered throughout the many levels and some of them will develop into legitimate superstars. However, there will also be plenty of flameouts. Right now, the Yankees system has a few power arms but their pitching prospects closest to the Majors are more finesse, pitch to contact types who can either do well or get bombed in the Majors. On the offensive side there are a lot of high strikeout guys but there are some with real potential. Lately the Yankees have been drafting more toolsy type players instead of power hitters. This year, however, they drafted Dante Bichette, Jr. who is a power type prospect. At every single level there are guys to watch and by the end of the season I'm sure my list will have to be changed once again as guys like Zoilo Almonte play their way into contention. Nothing is harder than trying to project baseball players. Ruben Rivera was the next Mickey Mantle and Brien Taylor was the next Nolan Ryan. And nobody knew where Chien Ming Wang came from and few predicted Robinson Cano would develop as he has. That's what makes this so much fun. Nothing is better than watching a kid get drafted and come up through the Minors and then emerge on the Big League scene. All you need is patience.

Monday, June 20, 2011

Foul Tips

-Phil Hughes began his rehab assignment and it seems that whatever was bothering him is now gone because his fastball touched 95 MPH. He went 4.1 innings for Staten Island, throwing 61 pitches, 41 of them for strikes, striking out 7 and walking one. The Yankees could really use a healthy and effective Phil Hughes for the stretch run. If Hughes does come back healthy and effective, I don't think the Yankees need to run out and cough up prospects for a rental starter. It wouldn't make sense.

-Yankee prospect, Tim Norton, might be done as a baseball player. After making his AAA debut and striking out 2 batters in his one inning of work, Norton apparently suffered a severely torn shoulder labrum. This is really bad news as he was probably going to be a candidate for the Major League roster due to his 46 K's in 30 innings at AA and AAA.

-The Yankees came to terms with their first selection in the 2011 Draft, Dante Bichette, Jr. They paid him just over slot, a $750,000 signing bonus. I think the kid is really eager to get started. Hopefully his work ethic doesn't take a hit. He will start the year with the GCL Yankees.

-Jesus Montero is going to be a DH according to all the experts. Gary Sanchez? Well, his defense is worse than Montero's. Sure, the two guys are projected to hit like crazy but where do you play them? Is Sanchez fleet enough for an outfield spot? Right now, it looks like Austin Romine (currently on DL for a concussion) and J.R. Murphy are the Yankees backstops of the future. Murphy can also rip with the bat.

-The Pittsburgh Pirates are only 4 games out of first in the NL Central. They are flirting with .500 and, although this doesn't seem likely to continue, it might mean the beginning of a new era in a black hole of baseball. Maybe.

-The Seattle Mariners are only a half game out of first in the AL West. After last year's performance nobody would have guessed Seattle would have a winning record as of June 19th. But they do, at 37-35.

-The Minnesota Twins are 9-1 in their last ten games. Looks like this team is going to try to claw its way back into the thick of things.

-Eighty year-old Jack McKeon has agreed to become the interim manager of the sliding Florida Marlins. The Marlins are 1-18 in June. Good luck Jack.

-He may not be the best player in this year's NBA Draft, but Jimmer Fredette of BYU is certainly the most intriguing. He can either be a nice scoring option off the bench or he can fade into obscurity after a couple of ineffective years. I can see him doing a J.J. Reddick impersonation in the NBA but I don't know if that is worth a high draft pick. Chad Ford has the Pacers taking Fredette at #15. I don't know if I would take him that high. The Knicks are also an option at #17.

-Will the Mets be buyers or sellers? Or will they stand pat at the trading deadline July 31st? I definitely can't see the Mets as buyers and I don't think they will trade Jose Reyes either. To do so would infuriate a slowly reemerging fanbase. I see the Mets trying to unload a Jason Bay but don't think they will be able to. David Wright isn't going anywhere and if the MEts can hold their heads around the waterline they will be getting Ike Davis back which would sure up their defense and add some much needed pop in their lineup. If Beltran stays healthy and Davis comes back ready to play I can see the Mets sticking around. then again, this is the Mets and bad things seem to come in bunches these days. However, they owe it to their fans to do what is best for the future of the franchise. Even if they keep Reyes and lose him in free agency, so what? You get 2 first rounders for him. Add in another possible first rounder or two for Beltran and lookie what you got here, the beginnings of a new farm system. I trust Sandy Alderson to rebuild this team. He knows what he is doing and has the baseball people around him that might be among the best assembled braintrust in all of baseball.

Monday, June 6, 2011

Fastballs and Curves

-Tonight is the MLB Draft where Gerrit Cole is slated to be taken first overall by the Pirates. A couple of years ago, in the 2008 MLB Draft, the Yankees took Cole with the 28th overall pick. Cole, a Yankee fan growing up, passed on the Yankees offer and went to UCLA. Now, Cole will be a Pirate or Mariner.

-Plaxico Burress was released from prison today and is now free to begin his search for a new team, when the labor problem is resolved of course. It feels like Plax served one of the longest sentences in athletic history. There is no doubt in my mind that his sentence didn't fit the crime. Totally overblown by New York City. He made a stupid decision and he paid for it by enduring a lot of pain and will deal with it the rest of his life from the embarrassment stemming from the nightclub incident. When he owned those guns outside of New York they were all legal. He should have registered them in New York but there should be a federal mandate that allows weapons to be transferred easily from state to state. Afterall, states don't guarantee the right to own guns, the Constitution does and last I checked all the states ratified that document.

-Taking Plax's place in the prison system will be former Mets and Phillies standout, Lenny Dykstra. Dykstra has not exactly led the glamorous life since leaving baseball. He has been linked to steroid use and now faces 25 counts of grand theft auto, attempted grand theft auto, identity theft, and a few drug possession charges. Apparently, Dykstra and two other men were trying to lease high end cars using false information and then claiming these cars as a credit on a phantom business. If convicted, Dykstra can face up to 12 years in prison.

-This NFL labor crap is killing me. I love the offseason for baseball, football, hockey, and basketball. I love playing GM and deciding who should where and all that. I get excited to think what new players the Giants will bring in and who will be donning the blue uniforms next season. Now, there is none of that in the NFL. Everyday this dispute goes on without resolution is one less day for rookies and free agents to get acclimated to new teams. This could seriously hurt the product on the field next year. Fans expect to see highly touted number one draft picks take the field and show what they can do. Now, without the ability to learn the plays they might not make much of an impact at all, especially the quarterbacks. Free agents who will pull down millions might not have the time to adapt to the new systems and could look terrible through the first few weeks of a season. This whole NFL situation just sucks.

-Through 46 games this season, Yankee prospect Slade Heathcott has already surpassed last years triples, and home run totals. In 2010, Heathcott hit 2 homers and 3 triples in 76 games. This year he has 4 of each so far and is only 5 doubles shy of last season's mark of 16. Progress.

-Yankee prospect Gary Sanchez returned from extended Spring Training after having some "attitude problems." Apparently, Sanchez, 18, refused to do some things coaches asked him to do. Hopefully, he got it all out of his system and he get back on track as a top prospect.

-Speaking of Yankee farmhands, J.R. Murphy might be doing more to establish himself on next years list of top prospects than anyone else in the Yankee system right now. He is currently posting a .321/.366/.502/ line (AVG/OBP/SLG) while slugging 6 homers and 20 doubles. Last season he hit .255/.327/.376 with only 7 homers and 15 doubles. Murphy was drafted as a catcher but he has been getting playing time in the OF and at the corners this year since the Yankees have Jesus Montero, Austin Romine, and Gary Sanchez as catching prospects ahead of him. If he continues to improve like this he might be a legit candidate for third (if he can play defense there) or a corner outfield slot. He is just raking this year.

-One Yankee prospect whose star is falling is Andrew Brackman. He is clearly having issues adjusting to AAA. In 10 starts, a total of only 46.1 innings, Brackman has posted a 2-4 record with a 6.80 ERA. He has walked 36(!!!!!!!) while striking out only 37 and has surrendered 49 hits. The stuff is there but he has been waaay too wild this season. He is a big guy at 6'10" so his mechanics might be a little off. In 2009 he was terrible before finding his groove in 2010. However, time is running out on Brackman who signed a major league contract after being drafted in 2007 which means he is eligible for free agency after this season. I can't see the Yankees letting someone with his stuff just walk but he will have to take a huge pay cut to continue on as a Yankee.

-Jesus Montero only has 4 homers so far this year and 10 doubles. He is hitting .297 now, down from his lofty start. Maybe he is just bored down in Scranton? Maybe he is working on his defense? I can't imagine he has just lost his power overnight. I'm betting on him being bored down there since this is his second season at AAA. He will get called up eventually, especially if Jorge Posada keeps swinging and missing.

-Yankee farmhand and former Braves prospect Cody Johnson has 10 homers in 183 at bats. He also has 81 K's and only 10 walks! He reminds me of the character played by Joaquin Phoenix in the M. Night Shamalan movie, Signs. Seriously, 81 strikeouts?!?!? At AA?!?!?!?! Good luck dude.

-Cody Johnson seems to be indicative of the type of filler-type guys Yankee GM Brian Cashman has brought in for minor league depth. There seem to be a lot of high strikeout guys who can hit the long ball sprinkled in around the Yankee minor leagues. There is Justin Maxwell, who leads the SWB Yankees with 72 K's and is second on the team in homers with 16. Then there is Jorge Vazquez who leads SWB with 18 homers and is second on the team in K's with 68. Just for measurement, Jesus Montero is third on the team in K's with 49. Montero is also third on the team in homers, tied with, get ready for this one.....Ramiro Pena! That's right, Ramiro Pena has more home runs than Brandon Laird, who hit 25 last season at AA and AAA.

-Wanna know if Bryce Harper is the real deal? The answer is yes. He has 13 homers, 12 stolen bases, 14 doubles, 41 RBI, a .610 SLG %, a .434 OBP, and is hitting .338. He also has 32 walks and has K'd just 46 times. For an 18 year-old kid those are PHENOMENAL numbers. Good for the Nationals for not rushing this kid through the sytem, they are letting him develop, keeping his confidence up, and it will pay huge dividends in the end.

-Here are some updates on some other Yankee Prospects:

Tim Norton has 44 K's in 29 innings out of the pen in Trenton. He owns a 1.55 ERA and 0.69 WHIP.

Dellin Betances is 3-1 with a 1.99 ERA, striking out 50 in 45.1 innings. He has been a little wild, walking 22 but it hasn't hurt him yet.

Manny Banuelos is 2-0 with a 2.12 ERA in 46.2 innings. He has allowed 26 walks and 38 hits but has struck out 42. Not bad overall numbers. I still think he will be the best of the "Killer B's" but only time will tell.


-Well, that's all for now. Enjoy the MLB Draft if thats your thing. Game 3 of the Stanley Cup is also on at 8.