Friday, October 7, 2011

Bring on the Offseason

The Yankees season is officially over.  It still hurts a little to say that but that's what happens when you load the bases twice in a game with one out and fail to score one run.  Now, it is time to look forward to next year, if we can do that already.  The free agency picture isn't completely clear right now because there are a lot of guys with options and a few with opt out clauses.  However, we know the Yankees will have to be busy this winter because some of those options and opt-outs are currently on the roster.

Right now, the Yankees hold options on Robinson Cano and Nick Swisher.  Cano is a no-brainer but I'm not so sure about Swisher.  Sure, Swisher hits well enough in the regular season but his post-season numbers are atrocious.  He has hit .169 in 5 ALDS series, 3 ALCS, and 1 World Series.  .169!  This past ALDS he hit .211 for the Yankees with 1 homer and 1 RBI.  He doesn't do anything particularly well, hitting between 20-30 homers but has hit over 30 (35) only once and that was in 2006.  He isn't worth the $10 million that the Yankees will have to pay him if they pick up his option.  Sorry, Swisher, but your days of saluting in right field at Yankee Stadium are over.

C.C. Sabathia can opt out of his contract and elect for free agency.  I see him opting out but I don't know if the Yankees will let him walk away.  Yes, his conditioning is a major issue.  I don't think I've ever seen a pitcher add weight during the season since David Wells and it looks like Sabathia ate all of Wells' portions on top of his own.  Sabathia made three appearances in this ALDS and gave up at least one run in every single appearance.  Not good.  Sabathia needs to learn about how to get fit.  Imagine what he could do if he stayed in shape?

Jorge Posada's Yankee career is over.  There is no reason to get nostalgic over a 40-year old DH who had a great ALDS this year.  It seemed as if Posada was always starting or always in the middle of a rally.  He will be missed, as all Yankee legends are, but it is time for the Yankees to bring Jesus Montero up and give him a shot.  Montero is younger and is probably a much bigger offensive threat at this point.  The time has come to let the next generation of Yankee stars show what they can do.

As for the Yankee rotation, well let's just say there is no sure thing in this rotation at all.  Sabathia can opt out.  Burnett is a disaster, ALDS start included.  Nova had a great year but he hasn't shown he can do this year and year out.  Phil Hughes was a complete mystery this year.  Bartolo Colon is probably done, his fighting with C.C. over post-game spreads won't be tolerated and the Yankees really don't want to bring back a 40-year old pitcher with health issues.  They were lucky this season and shouldn't roll the dice on him again.  Freddy Garcia pitched very well and was probably the Yankees most consistent starter all year long. The Yankees wouldn't be going out on a limb to give him a one or two-year deal and see what he can do.

I would expect the Yankees to target at least one starting pitcher this offseason even if Sabathia opts out and re-signs.  C.J. Wilson, a lefty who has done nothing but win the last two years is probably going to get the phone call from GM Brian Cashman, who the Yankees also need to re-sign.  After Wilson the talent level drops off, depending on options and opt-outs.  Mark Buehrle of the White Sox has hinted at retirement but is still 33 years-old and has the ability to shut down opponents.  He might get a courtesy call this winter from the Yankees as well.

Right now, none of the Yankees top pitching prospects are ready for the Majors.  Adam Warren and David Phelps might be the closest but they are middle of the road prospects, not like Manny Banuelos and Dellin Betances who projects as top two starters.  Maybe the Yankees see what Warren can do, Nova, after all wasn't a top prospect either but he learned how to pitch.  Either way I expect the Yankees to give one of Warren and Phelps a shot and for them to sign at least one other starter (Wilson) to go with Sabathia and Burnett and Nova.  Phil Hughes will remain a question mark for the time being because of whatever arm issues he was dealing with.  He pitched very well out of the pen and the Yankees could use him there.  Having a bullpen that has Joba Chamberlain, Rafael Soriano, Phil Hughes, Boone Logan, David Robertson, Luis Ayala, Cory Wade, and Mariano Rivera in the mix is something to hang your hat on.  Whomever doesn't make the team in Spring Training out of the Hughes, Wade, Ayala group could be used in a trade.

As for the offense, well there are a lot of question marks here even with Curtis Granderson, Brett Gardner, Mark Teixeira, Derek Jeter, and Alex Rodriguez being penciled in.  A-Rod was not the same player he was before all of the injuries sapped him of his ability to hit.  The Yankees might consider using him at DH more next year to keep him fresh.  Eduardo Nunez was terrible in the field but was pretty good offensively and on the base paths.  He could continue to spell A-Rod at third while he DH's.  Another option might be to have A-Rod see what right field is like.  Certainly he has the speed to cover ground out there and the wear and tear is nothing like it is at third.  If A-Rod wants to show he is all about the team he should volunteer to take some fly balls out there.  You never know, he could save his career out there.  Jesus Montero showed what he was capable of and the Yankees will have to find a way to get his young, explosive bat into the lineup.  He could be the backup catcher when he isn't DHing and should show the world why it was smart for the Yankees not to trade him.  He is certainly better than Francisco Cervelli on both ends of the plate and it only makes sense for the Yankees to do this.  If A-Rod DH's more than Montero can spell Martin behind the plate more often.  The fact is the Yankees need to get his bat into this lineup.  As for Swisher, he should not be brought back, as mentioned before.  The Yankees would save themselves a lot of money and heartache in the postseason.  Replacements for him aren't clear yet.  I think the Yankees might kick the tires on Grady Sizemore or Jason Kubel.  Sizemore has an injury history longer than Carl Pavano's, ok maybe not that bad, but this once promising player has seen his career go awry because he can't stay healthy.  He is still only 29 or so and can be an upgrade over Swisher in right field if healthy.  If the Yankees were willing to gamble on Colon, why not Sizemore who is younger?  As for a utility guy I am a fan of bringing in Mark DeRosa who is a free agent.  He can play anywhere on the field and has a .358 career postseason average.  He is up there in age (37 next year) but can still hit, he hit .279 this season for San Francisco in a limited role and has shown his bat has some pop.  He is also a Yankee fan who attended Bergen Catholic and he might be so excited to be a Yankee he surprises people.  at worst you get a guy who plays solid defense everywhere he plays and will slap singles all over the field.  He won't be expensive at all and has dreamed of being a Yankee since he was young.  The Yankees need a guy like this who understands his role, has won a World Series and has performed in the postseason on a consistently great level.

The Yankees are in for a busy off-season.  The first step is getting a GM in place, whether it is Cashman or a replacement.  Then, bring in a starting pitcher, re-sign C.C., exercise option on Cano, hope Soriano opts out of his contract, stay away from ANY relievers in free agency, and find a new right fielder.  It should be interesting to say the least.